Thursday, January 3, 2013
3 January 2013
In the year 2000!
Transistors and communication satellites will make telecommuting from Tahiti or Bali just as practical as working from London. If worthwhile, any executive, administrative and physical skills could be made independent of distance.
Brain surgeons in Edinburgh will be able perform operations in New Zealand. There will be no commuting only communicating.
For this reason, cities may not exist at all.
Travel only happens for leisure.
Predictor: Arthur C. Clarke
Year of prediction: 1964 on the BBC TV show Horizon. (You can see Part 1 and Part 2 on the You Tubes.)
Accuracy: Good old Arthur C. was never short on speculation about the near future, not unlike Robert A. Heinlein. He is right that telecommuting has become possible, he just missed that it hasn't replaced regular old commuting just yet. He breezes over a lot of difficulties with his prepositional phrase "if worthwhile". Cities still exist because cities make it easier for people to get the stuff they need to live and work.
If you want a clever sci-fi story, you can read Arthur C. Clarke. If you want to understand cities better, Jane Jacobs is a better source.
Looking one day ahead... INTO THE FUTURE! Friday is Antique Postcard Day! Yes, both French and German postcards will be our Friday fare for many months to come.
French postcards! The kind men like! Especially men not interested in looking at nekkid ladies, but instead forward looking men hungry for knowledge about... THE FUTURE!
Join me then... IN THE FUTURE!