Sunday, March 24, 2013

24 March 2013


Birthdays
Keisha Castle-Hughes b. 1990
Alyson Hannigan b. 1974

Ms. Castle-Hughes, so good in Whale Rider (and so adorable at the Oscars that year) was also the Queen of Naboo in Star Wars: Episode III. But when it comes to the genre, she is not and never will be Willow Rosenberg.

So it is written and so it shall be.



Prediction:The demographics of Los Angeles 2013


Predictor: Southern California Association of Governments in 1988

Source: L.A. 2013, printed in the Los Angeles Times Magazine, 3 April 1988

Prediction (reality)
18.3 million (18.1 million)
1/15 of U.S. pop. (1/17 of U.S. pop.)



This is a pretty good guess.

Ethnicity:
41% White (actual 29.4%)
39.5% Latino (48.5%)
10.2% Black (9.8%)
9.3% Asian (10.7%) 



This is a pretty bad guess. Not understanding birth rate differentials is the cause.

Median Age
36.3 (33.8)



Another pretty bad guess. When the guess was made, the median was around 29. If you have the birth rate fairly close and the death rate as well, a competent mathematician would not miss by this much.

What they really got right: Using Syd Mead as the illustrator. If you like your future smooth and shiny, Syd Mead is the go-to guy and he has been for decades.

If you don't like your future smooth and shiny... why are you reading this blog in the first place?

Sorry. Don't want to chase away readers, but the question had to be asked.

Looking one day ahead... INTO THE FUTURE! 


My favorite three words to type on a Monday... OMNI Future Almanac!
 
Join me then... IN THE FUTURE!


1 comment:

  1. Ms. Hannigan: Excellent choice. You, sir, are a man of discernment and taste (heterosexual division).

    ReplyDelete

Traveler! Have you news... FROM THE FUTURE?