Monday, April 28, 2014

28 March 2014

Birthdays
Jessica Alba, b. 1981 (Sin City, Spy Kids, Fantastic Four, Dark Angel, Venus Rising)
Penélope Cruz b. 1974 (Pirates of the Caribbean: On Stranger Tides, Vanilla Sky)
Elisabeth Röhm b. 1973 (Mega Shark vs. Mecha Shark, Lake Placid: The Final Chapter, Heroes, Angel, The Invisible Man [TV movie])
Jorge Garcia b. 1973 (Lost, Once Upon a Time, Fringe)
Bridget Moynahan b. 1971 (Battle Los Angeles, I, Robot)
Kari Wuhrer b. 1967 (Sharknado 2: The Second One, Stargate: Atlantis, Berserker: Hell’s Warrior, King of the Ants, Eight Legged Freaks, Sliders, Anaconda, Thinner, Swamp Thing, Beastmaster 2: Through the Portal of Time)
Mary McDonnell b. 1952 (Battlestar Galactica, Donnie Darko, Independence Day)
Bob Rumnock b. 1953 (Divergent, World’s End, G.I. Joe: The Rise of Cobra, Angel)
Stuart Gillard b. 1950 (director, Beauty and the Beast [TV], Charmed, Poltergeist: The Legacy, RocketMan, Creature, Teenage Mutant Ninja Turtles III)
Marcia Strassman b. 1948 (Tremors [TV], Earth Minus Zero, Highlander, Honey I Shrunk the Kids, And You Thought Your Parents Were Weird, Brave New World, Time Express)
Terry Pratchett b. 1948 (author, Discworld, Hogfather)
Mike Newell b. 1942 (director, Harry Potter and the Goblet of Fire)
Carolyn Jones b. 1930 died 3 August 1983 (Wonder Woman, Batman, The Addams Family, Invasion of the Body Snatchers, The War of the Worlds, House of Wax)
Robert Cornthwaite b. 1917 died 20 July 2006 (The Naked Monster, White Dwarf, Time Trackers, Beauty and the Beast, Buck Rogers in the 25th Century, Futureworld, Kolchak: The Night Stalker, The Six Million Dollar Man, Colossus: The Forbin Project, Land of the Giants, Batman, Voyage to the Bottom of the Sea, The Munsters, Twilight Zone, Destination Space, The War of the Worlds, The Thing from Another World)

The birthday list today has plenty of options for Pretty Girl = Picture Slot. Last year I went with Jessica Alba and no one could blame me. My first thought was to get yet another fabulous babe this year - probably going old school with Carolyn Jones - but instead, rummaging through imdb.com I found the late Oh That Guy actor Robert Cornthwaite, seen here in an early role as the doctor who tries to reason with The Thing from Another World and fails spectacularly. He had the hat on in most scenes, so you can't see he's bald and he usually did not have a beard. Here's a link to images of him on Google. Definitely an Oh That Guy.

Many happy returns to all the living on the list and to the dead, thanks for all the memories.

 

Predictor: OMNI Future Almanac, published in 1982

Prediction (reality in parentheses): Marital status statistics in 1995

Men
Never married: 27% (27%)
Married: 59% (54%)
Separated/Divorced/Widowed: 15% (18%)

Women
Never married: 21% (24%)
Married: 54% (52%)
Separated/Divorced/Widowed: 25% (24%)

Analysis: These numbers are awfully damn close. One trend that may have been hard to catch is that the gap in life expectancies between men and women narrowed, which reduces the number of widows. Another surprise for me was that the number of never married men was higher in 1979 than it was in 1995, 31% to 27%. The women's rate stayed level. In the last eighteen years, the percentage of never married over the age of 14 has increased to 34% for men and 28% for women. This reflects two trends, people getting married later and an increase in people who never marry.

In any case, while a chi square test for goodness of fit would probably say this isn't a close estimate, I agree with Edwards Deming that a lot of hypothesis testing is flawed both by sample sizes too large and too small. I'm going to give OMNI Future Almanac credit for a good prediction this week.

Looking one day ahead... INTO THE FUTURE!

More fun with our new Tuesday regular Geoffrey Hoyle.

Join us then... IN THE FUTURE!

1 comment:

  1. Happy birthday especially to Terry Pratchett, his Discworld universe is as tight and logical as Middle Earth and a lot more fun.

    ReplyDelete

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